PFJF

The Big Pie 3 mentioned a while ago broke 4 today
Come out and be proud
Continue diving

Again,
This post is to remind old friends not to be too impulsive,
The meaning of the previous article is that I don't look at the big drop in the short term, 20,000 starts,
Another meaning is more than 3 to 40,000 oscillations,
It's not a very subjective concept to give the price band, so the point is up.
I don't have much to say if I ask too much.

A lot of people who know me are old friends.
Actually, knowing that I haven't said the content for so long,
These days, I have been saying one thing a lot,
In fact, if there is a foundation of trust, it should be able to sound the alarm bells.

After a while, my thinking is a little better in all aspects,
I might consider continuing to share,
Unless you have some special concerns, it's still diving.
I hope you can make a lot of money in this circle,
Let's do it together!

A few days ago, I shouted to pay attention to BTC risks, and I don't know what happened to everyone?
In the past 2-3 months, I have been relatively conservative in 2-3 months.
The market is thousands of dollars down if the leverage opens big friends,
Even if there are only one or two because of my reminders, I feel that it is rare to reduce the loss.
I hope everyone can have a good year before the Spring Festival,
It's not easy to make money,
Take care of your Wallet,
Let's do it together!

Yesterday the risk was warned, and today I am prompting... Btc

Around 47,000 to 50,000 BTC, note the historical risk
I won't talk about anything else

Let's talk about one of the reasons for posting this time,
My own concept is still a much longer concept.
The reasons have been discussed in detail before (high income ceiling + inflation),
But BTC says 69,000 down to 15,000,
The current rebound high is about 44700,
Coupled with the madness of the recent inscriptions,
There is also the expected benefit of the interest rate hike cycle and the expected benefit of spot ETFs.
For the big cycle,
I'm really not optimistic that there will be no adjustment of more than 30%-50% of the local high, and it will take off directly to break through more than 70,000.

This time, I feel that the amplitude is still a little bigger.
Long and short feelings are not necessarily immune,
Recently, the inscription is crazy and there are old friends who have made a profit in a relatively large cycle,
can cool down the brain,
It is not necessary to participate in the last market to rest for a while,
It's not a bad thing to be careful,
Although I look at the recent end of the BTC big cycle rebound market,
But how many people can not be played to death by the amplitude of this while?
There are a few more people who touch the top 100% to the end,
Encourage it!

When I didn't talk about it in my last post,
Thinking about it, I still think that the shorting ratio is not very good,
After earning some food money, I withdrew,
Come on, everybody [pouting]

This market is the first time in a long time that it has been so bearish on BTC.
I really don't think it's reckless...
After all, shorting is not cost-effective
But the Fed is good and the spot ETF is good,
It feels like you're watching a fairy tale,
The amplitude of this market is very large, and there is no way to get away with the direction.
The amplitude is small, and it can only go up and down.
It's hard,
Come on, everyone!

BTC has not pulled back for a while,
A lot of old mainstream coins have nothing to pull,
If you are not optimistic about the overall rise but are not willing to accept the old mainstream independent market,
You can choose the way that the amount of the short BTC position is equal to the amount of the old mainstream position.
Avoid fomo emotions on your own,
Encourage it!

Let’s just talk about the current crowd holding positions,
At present, the recent period of 22000~24000 is about two weeks.
If the early spot dead take is ruled out without discussion,
The recent market situation can be roughly divided into the following mentalities to talk about:
A. A while ago, about 15,000~18,000 people entered the market,
These people ''did not clear their positions'' during the rising process, and the long-term profits are now around 30-50% without leverage.
B. About 15,000 to 18,000 people entered the market a while ago,
These people "cleared their positions without shorting" during the rising process, and the profit was about 10-30% if the pie was not leveraged.
C. About 15,000 to 18,000 people entered the market a while ago,
These people cleared their positions and backhanded short positions during the rise, or waited and watched with short positions and watched the rise too much, but did not dare to enter the market and had no profit.
D. People who have been short-selling or have lost money for many other reasons.
Because after experiencing $69,000 in November 2021 to 2022
In November, the price of more than 15,000 dollars fell in a big cycle for about a year,
For the mentality of people who are biased towards the AB situation, the bottom of the big pie rose by about 50%,
I think most people will have a more reserved attitude towards the continued rise of the market.
In the current relatively horizontal stage,
Many people may reduce their positions, clear their positions, and backhand short positions.
For the CD crowd, there is no profit or even loss in a large number of rises.
In terms of mentality, there may be more of a compensatory mentality,
Because there is no holding position or no buying in 15000~18000,
Basically, when it reaches the range of 22000~24000, it is less likely to choose to go long.
The mood of continuing to wait and see or shorting can more make up for the regret of not buying at 15,000~18,000.
Based on the above ideas, in the period of 22000~24000,
I think that in the mentality and emotion of most retail investors,
It will be more inclined to reduce short positions or short positions.
When most people judge the market,
The recent operations will inevitably be influenced by emotions,
Posting this article is also to remind friends who have similar situations,
You can see if you are affected by emotions by reading this article.
whether rising or falling,
In previous years, the market was often unilateral,
The current stage of sideways,
For most retail investors, it may just be the beginning of the torment.
a new Year,
Hope you all get rich! [Show teeth][Show teeth]